SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 66.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 13.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Hatayspor |
66.77% ( 0.78) | 19.73% ( -0.37) | 13.5% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 48.38% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.93% ( 0.73) | 45.07% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.58% ( 0.69) | 67.42% ( -0.69) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.43% ( 0.44) | 12.57% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.36% ( 0.91) | 38.65% ( -0.91) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.34% ( -0.16) | 44.66% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.34% ( -0.13) | 80.66% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Hatayspor |
| 2-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.09% Total : 66.77% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.81% Total : 19.73% | 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.29% Total : 13.5% |
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