SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Gaziantep |
56.89% ( 1.77) | 22.66% ( -0.41) | 20.44% ( -1.37) |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.3% ( 0.04) | 45.69% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.98% ( 0.04) | 68.01% ( -0.05) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.17% ( 0.62) | 15.83% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.98% ( 1.14) | 45.01% ( -1.15) |
| Gaziantep Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.57% ( -1.33) | 36.43% ( 1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.79% ( -1.36) | 73.21% ( 1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Gaziantep |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.39)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.36)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.37% Total : 56.89% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.65% | 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.76% Total : 20.44% |
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