SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
41.81% ( -0.38) | 25.61% ( 0.3) | 32.58% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.81% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.89% ( -1.26) | 49.1% ( 1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.82% ( -1.15) | 71.17% ( 1.15) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.67% ( -0.74) | 23.32% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.72% ( -1.08) | 57.27% ( 1.07) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( -0.57) | 28.51% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% ( -0.72) | 64.29% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.81% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.58% |
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