SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 66.83%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Dundee had a probability of 14.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Dundee win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Dundee |
66.83% ( 0.35) | 18.53% ( -0.24) | 14.64% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.77% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.08% ( 0.91) | 36.92% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.9% ( 0.98) | 59.1% ( -0.98) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.78% ( 0.34) | 10.22% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.48% ( 0.77) | 33.52% ( -0.77) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.12% ( 0.43) | 37.88% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.35% ( 0.42) | 74.65% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Dundee |
| 2-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.27)3-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.08)5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.94% Total : 66.82% | 1-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.53% | 1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 14.64% |
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