SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hearts in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
44.52% ( -0.31) | 23.28% ( 0.52) | 32.19% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 62.85% ( -2.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.47% ( -2.63) | 38.53% ( 2.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.17% ( -2.84) | 60.82% ( 2.84) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.3% ( -1.16) | 17.7% ( 1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.64% ( -2.05) | 48.35% ( 2.05) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.37% ( -1.38) | 23.62% ( 1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.29% ( -2.03) | 57.71% ( 2.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.62)2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.27)3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.91% Total : 44.52% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.5)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.5)0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.19% |
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