SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Aberdeen |
43.87% ( 1.12) | 26.26% ( -0.06) | 29.87% ( -1.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.56% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.22% ( -0.19) | 52.78% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.59% ( -0.16) | 74.4% ( 0.16) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.08% ( 0.47) | 23.92% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.86% ( 0.67) | 58.13% ( -0.67) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.77% ( -0.86) | 32.23% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.28% ( -0.98) | 68.72% ( 0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.87% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.87% |
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