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Europa League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka

Rijeka
1 - 0
Corvinul Hunedoara

Petrovic (12')
Posavec (74'), Pasalic (75'), Galesic (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bus (49'), Manolache (90+1'), Daniel Lefter (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Corvinul Hunedoara 0-0 Rijeka
Thursday, July 25 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Corvinul Hunedoara 0-0 Rijeka
Thursday, July 25 at 6pm in Europa League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Dinamo Zagreb0nan
2Gorica0nan
3Rijeka0nan
4Hajduk Split0nan
5Istra 19610nan
6NK Lokomotiva0nan
7Varazdin0nan
8Osijek0nan
9Sibenik0nan
10Slaven Koprivnica0nan

We said: HNK Rijeka 1-0 Corvinul Hunedoara (HNK Rijeka win 1-0 on aggregate)

Despite being a second-tier team in Romania, Corvinul have already proven themselves a tough nut to crack since returning to European competition after a four-decade break. Nevertheless, Rijeka's quality should shine through in the second leg, following a rare failure to score on their competitive debut for 2024-25. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Corvinul Hunedoara had a probability of 17.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Corvinul Hunedoara win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for HNK Rijeka in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for HNK Rijeka.

Result
HNK RijekaDrawCorvinul Hunedoara
62.99% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 19.87% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 17.13% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.92% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.74% (0.017000000000003 0.02)38.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (0.017000000000003 0.02)60.53% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.41% (0.027999999999992 0.03)11.59% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.43% (0.061 0.06)36.56% (-0.064 -0.06)
Corvinul Hunedoara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.37% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)35.62% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)72.39% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    HNK Rijeka 62.99%
    Corvinul Hunedoara 17.13%
    Draw 19.87%
HNK RijekaDrawCorvinul Hunedoara
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.59% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.11% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.89% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.71% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.6% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 62.99%
1-1 @ 9.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 19.87%
1-2 @ 4.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 17.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Corvinul Hunedoara 0-0 Rijeka
Thursday, July 25 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Salzburg 1-0 Rijeka
Wednesday, July 17 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Rijeka 4-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, May 26 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 2-0 Rijeka
Sunday, May 19 at 6.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 3-1 Rijeka
Saturday, May 11 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Sunday, May 5 at 6.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Corvinul Hunedoara 0-0 Rijeka
Thursday, July 25 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: Corvinul Hunedoara 0-2 Paksi SE
Thursday, July 18 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Paksi SE 0-4 Corvinul Hunedoara
Thursday, July 11 at 6pm in Europa League


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