Huachipato have drawn their two home matches in the competition so far and they have never lost to Gremio in history. We think it is going to be a third consecutive home draw for the hosts and a second draw between both teams at Estadio CAP. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Huachipato had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Huachipato win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gremio in this match.

Result
Huachipato	Draw	Gremio
33.77% ( -0.16)	27.28% ( -0.14)	38.95% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 49.79% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.32% (

0.52)

55.68% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.17% (

0.42)

76.83% (

-0.42)

Huachipato Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.99% (

0.16)

31.01% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.69% (

0.18)

67.31% (

-0.18)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.16% (

0.43)

27.84% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.56% (

0.54)

63.44% (

-0.53)

Score Analysis

Huachipato 33.77%

Gremio 38.94%

Draw 27.28%

Huachipato	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.77%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.28%	0-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.94%