Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huachipato win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huachipato win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
