SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Gremio |
53.25% ( -0.13) | 24.71% ( 0.04) | 22.05% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.43% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.76% ( -0.06) | 52.24% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.06% ( -0.05) | 73.94% ( 0.06) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.42% ( -0.08) | 19.58% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.5% ( -0.13) | 51.51% ( 0.13) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.46% ( 0.06) | 38.54% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.72% ( 0.05) | 75.29% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Gremio |
| 1-0 @ 12.3% 2-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 53.24% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.71% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 22.05% |
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