SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 75.96%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Huachipato had a probability of 9.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Huachipato win it was 1-2 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Huachipato |
75.96% ( 0.05) | 14.9% ( -0.02) | 9.14% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.45% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.5% ( 0.01) | 34.5% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.57% ( 0.01) | 56.43% ( -0) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.45% ( 0.01) | 7.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.94% ( 0.03) | 27.06% ( -0.02) |
| Huachipato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.57% ( -0.05) | 45.42% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.73% ( -0.04) | 81.27% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gremio | Draw | Huachipato |
| 2-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.78% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.03% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.6% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.42% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.12% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.09% Total : 75.95% | 1-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.43% ( -0)Other @ 0.92% Total : 14.9% | 1-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.71% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 9.14% |
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