SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 46.65%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 22.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (7.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.84%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huracan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Huracan | Draw | Sarmiento |
46.65% ( -0.01) | 31.21% ( -0) | 22.15% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 34.15% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.08% ( 0.01) | 71.92% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.56% ( 0.01) | 88.44% ( -0.01) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.33% ( -0) | 31.67% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.92% ( -0) | 68.08% |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.97% ( 0.02) | 50.03% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.32% ( 0.01) | 84.68% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huracan | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 18.21% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.47% 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.78% 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0)3-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 46.64% | 0-0 @ 15.84% 1-1 @ 12.61% 2-2 @ 2.51% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 31.2% | 0-1 @ 10.97% 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2% Total : 22.14% |
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