Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 47.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 24.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huracan would win this match.