SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 57.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 16.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huracan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Huracan | Draw | Sarmiento |
57.64% ( 0.01) | 25.64% ( 0.01) | 16.72% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 39.21% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.51% ( -0.04) | 61.48% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.64% ( -0.03) | 81.35% ( 0.03) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.5% ( -0.01) | 21.5% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.45% ( -0.02) | 54.54% ( 0.02) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.95% ( -0.05) | 50.05% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.31% ( -0.03) | 84.69% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huracan | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 16.54% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 57.64% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0)1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 16.72% |
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