SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 43.97%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Central Cordoba had a probability of 24.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.4%), while for a Central Cordoba win it was 0-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Central Cordoba |
43.97% ( 0.38) | 31.38% ( 0.07) | 24.65% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 35.62% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.83% ( -0.36) | 71.17% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.02% ( -0.23) | 87.97% ( 0.23) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.23% ( 0.02) | 32.76% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.67% ( 0.03) | 69.32% ( -0.03) |
| Central Cordoba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.97% ( -0.66) | 47.02% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.49% ( -0.5) | 82.5% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Central Cordoba |
| 1-0 @ 17.19% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.68% Total : 43.97% | 0-0 @ 15.4% ( 0.2) 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.27% Total : 31.37% | 0-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.41% Total : 24.65% |
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