SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Central Cordoba had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.94%), while for a Central Cordoba win it was 0-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Central Cordoba |
47.84% ( -1.14) | 29.84% ( -0.18) | 22.32% ( 1.32) |
| Both teams to score 37% ( 1.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.52% ( 1.28) | 68.48% ( -1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.75% ( 0.83) | 86.25% ( -0.83) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( 0.06) | 29.23% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.82% ( 0.07) | 65.18% ( -0.07) |
| Central Cordoba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.28% ( 2.21) | 47.72% ( -2.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.98% ( 1.59) | 83.02% ( -1.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Central Cordoba |
| 1-0 @ 17.15% ( -0.8) 2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.47)2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.31% Total : 47.84% | 0-0 @ 13.94% ( -0.68) 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.23)Other @ 0.31% Total : 29.83% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.36)0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.13)Other @ 1.38% Total : 22.31% |
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