SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 40.21%. A draw had a probability of 31.8% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 27.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (6.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.39%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Independiente |
27.97% ( 0) | 31.82% ( -0.01) | 40.21% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 36.42% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.85% ( 0.01) | 71.14% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.04% ( 0.01) | 87.96% ( -0.01) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.03% ( 0.01) | 43.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.9% ( 0.01) | 80.1% ( -0.01) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.99% ( 0.01) | 35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.25% ( 0.01) | 71.75% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 12.64% 2-1 @ 5.45% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.49% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.76% Total : 27.96% | 0-0 @ 15.39% 1-1 @ 13.27% 2-2 @ 2.86% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 31.81% | 0-1 @ 16.15% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.48% ( -0)1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0)2-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 40.2% |
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