SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 43.41%. A draw had a probability of 31.9% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (7.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.1%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Gimnasia |
43.41% ( -0.08) | 31.89% ( -0.04) | 24.7% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 34.63% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 27.63% ( 0.15) | 72.36% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.29% ( 0.09) | 88.71% ( -0.09) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.25% ( 0.04) | 33.75% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.59% ( 0.04) | 70.41% ( -0.04) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.28% ( 0.21) | 47.72% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.97% ( 0.16) | 83.02% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 17.49% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.53% Total : 43.41% | 0-0 @ 16.1% ( -0.09) 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 31.88% | 0-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.32% Total : 24.69% |
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