SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 41.62%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 28.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.44%) and 1-2 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 1-0 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Independiente |
28.83% ( 1.64) | 29.55% ( 0.92) | 41.62% ( -2.56) |
| Both teams to score 41.96% ( -1.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.33% ( -2.24) | 64.67% ( 2.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.34% ( -1.61) | 83.66% ( 1.61) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.55% ( 0.1) | 39.45% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.86% ( 0.09) | 76.14% ( -0.09) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.29% ( -2.53) | 30.7% ( 2.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.04% ( -3.09) | 66.96% ( 3.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.93) 2-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.46% Total : 28.82% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.97)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.54% | 0-1 @ 14.3% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.5)1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.44)0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.45)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.41)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.19)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.2)Other @ 1.28% Total : 41.62% |
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