SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 56.61%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 15.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.52%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.43%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
56.61% ( -0.42) | 28% ( 0.09) | 15.39% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 32.25% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.58% ( 0.14) | 69.42% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.14% ( 0.09) | 86.86% ( -0.09) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.55% ( -0.13) | 25.45% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.73% ( -0.17) | 60.28% ( 0.17) |
| Deportivo Riestra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.26% ( 0.57) | 56.74% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.11% ( 0.32) | 88.89% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
| 1-0 @ 19.76% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 13.52% ( -0.16)2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0)3-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.71% Total : 56.61% | 0-0 @ 14.43% ( -0.08) 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 27.99% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.71% Total : 15.39% |
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