SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 34.18%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 31.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.77%) and 2-1 (6.45%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (14.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Independiente |
34.18% ( 0.06) | 31.76% ( 0.03) | 34.06% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 37.77% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.81% ( -0.07) | 70.19% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.65% ( -0.04) | 87.35% ( 0.04) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.5% ( 0.01) | 38.5% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.75% ( 0.01) | 75.25% ( -0.01) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.41% ( -0.11) | 38.59% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.67% ( -0.1) | 75.33% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 14.18% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.05% ( 0)3-2 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.61% Total : 34.18% | 0-0 @ 14.85% ( 0.04) 1-1 @ 13.5% 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 31.75% | 0-1 @ 14.14% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 34.05% |
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