SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 42.8%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 27.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 1-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Independiente win it was 1-0 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | River Plate |
27.98% ( 0.16) | 29.22% ( 0.03) | 42.8% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 42.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.03% ( -0.04) | 63.97% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.84% ( -0.03) | 83.16% ( 0.03) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.24% ( 0.11) | 39.76% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.57% ( 0.1) | 76.43% ( -0.1) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.31% ( -0.13) | 29.69% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.26% ( -0.15) | 65.74% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 1.41% Total : 27.97% | 1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.22% | 0-1 @ 14.33% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.41% Total : 42.8% |
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