Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 27, 2024 at 6pm UK
Parc des Princes
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fabian Fernandez Benitez (25', 90+6'),
Enciso (69'),
Balbuena (90+3')
Caballero (45')
We said: Israel 1-2 Paraguay
While Paraguay suffered a heavy defeat in their opening match, they were right in the contest until they were reduced to 10 men. Back to a full contingent and with their qualification hopes on the line, we feel La Albirroja could pull off an important victory in this match.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay Under-23s win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Israel Under-23s had a probability of 22.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Israel Under-23s win it was 2-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paraguay Under-23s would win this match.
| Result |
| Israel Under-23s | Draw | Paraguay Under-23s |
22.63% ( 8.73) | 22.67% ( 3.97) | 54.7% ( -12.69) |
| Both teams to score 56.63% ( 3.56) |
| 56.94% ( -3.6) | 43.06% ( 3.6) |
| 34.54% ( -3.65) | 65.46% ( 3.66) |
| 67.14% ( 7.66) | 32.86% ( -7.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.57% ( 7.7) | 69.43% ( -7.7) |
| 84.34% ( -4.87) | 15.66% ( 4.87) |
