SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Under-23s win with a probability of 80.72%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Paraguay Under-23s had a probability of 6.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan Under-23s win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.9%) and 1-0 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.2%), while for a Paraguay Under-23s win it was 0-1 (2.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Japan Under-23s | Draw | Paraguay Under-23s |
80.72% ( -5.96) | 13.03% ( 3.54) | 6.25% ( 2.42) |
| Both teams to score 42.46% ( 3.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.31% ( -6.1) | 36.69% ( 6.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.15% ( -6.96) | 58.85% ( 6.96) |
| Japan Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.95% ( -2.31) | 7.05% ( 2.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.26% ( -6.56) | 25.74% ( 6.56) |
| Paraguay Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.68% ( 4.42) | 54.32% ( -4.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.53% ( 2.52) | 87.47% ( -2.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Japan Under-23s | Draw | Paraguay Under-23s |
| 2-0 @ 13.46% ( 0.53) 3-0 @ 11.9% ( -1.25)1-0 @ 10.15% ( 1.67)2-1 @ 8.22% ( 1.33)4-0 @ 7.9% ( -2.13)3-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.52)5-0 @ 4.19% ( -1.93)5-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.7)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.36)6-0 @ 1.85% ( -1.26)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.05)6-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.53)Other @ 3.58% Total : 80.71% | 1-1 @ 6.2% ( 1.68) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( 1.05)2-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.68)Other @ 0.5% Total : 13.03% | 0-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.86) 1-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.69)Other @ 2.02% Total : 6.25% |
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