SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a GAIS win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a GAIS win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that GAIS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | GAIS |
36.41% ( -0.01) | 24.9% ( -0.02) | 38.68% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.07% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.76% ( 0.1) | 45.23% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.42% ( 0.1) | 67.58% ( -0.1) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% ( 0.04) | 24.39% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.19% ( 0.06) | 58.8% ( -0.06) |
| GAIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% ( 0.06) | 23.19% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.92% ( 0.09) | 57.08% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | GAIS |
| 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0)4-2 @ 1% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.41% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.68% |
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