SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Sirius win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Sirius |
43.85% ( -0.01) | 25.9% ( 0.16) | 30.25% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.85% ( -0.71) | 51.14% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.01% ( -0.63) | 72.99% ( 0.62) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( -0.31) | 23.22% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.88% ( -0.46) | 57.12% ( 0.45) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.89% ( -0.47) | 31.11% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.56% ( -0.55) | 67.44% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Sirius |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.03% Total : 43.85% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.25% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
