SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Vasteras SK had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Vasteras SK win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Vasteras SK |
42.9% ( 0.24) | 24.78% ( -0.02) | 32.33% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 57.54% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.48% ( 0.04) | 45.52% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% ( 0.04) | 67.85% ( -0.04) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.73% ( 0.13) | 21.27% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.81% ( 0.19) | 54.19% ( -0.2) |
| Vasteras SK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.08% ( -0.11) | 26.92% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.75% ( -0.15) | 62.25% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Vasteras SK |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 42.9% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 32.33% |
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