SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 54.25%. A win for Vasteras SK had a probability of 23.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Vasteras SK win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hammarby in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Vasteras SK |
54.25% ( -0.27) | 22.23% ( 0.05) | 23.52% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 59.32% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.97% ( 0.02) | 40.03% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.61% ( 0.02) | 62.4% ( -0.02) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.25% ( -0.08) | 14.75% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.02% ( -0.16) | 42.99% ( 0.16) |
| Vasteras SK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.59% ( 0.2) | 30.42% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.38% ( 0.23) | 66.62% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | Vasteras SK |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.1% Total : 54.25% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.23% | 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 23.52% |
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