Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a GAIS win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Vasteras SK had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a GAIS win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Vasteras SK win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that GAIS would win this match.
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