SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Katowice win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Katowice | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
34.72% ( -0.05) | 25.07% ( -0) | 40.2% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.23% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.77% ( 0) | 46.23% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.48% ( 0) | 68.52% ( -0) |
| Katowice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( -0.03) | 25.81% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.23% ( -0.04) | 60.77% ( 0.04) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.14% ( 0.03) | 22.86% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.4% ( 0.04) | 56.59% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Katowice | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
| 1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.72% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 40.2% |
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