Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Katowice win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Katowice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Katowice would win this match.
Result | ||
Katowice | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
44.64% (![]() | 24.12% (![]() | 31.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.34% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.06% (![]() | 42.94% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.65% (![]() | 65.35% (![]() |
Katowice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.57% (![]() | 19.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.73% (![]() | 51.26% (![]() |
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.66% (![]() | 26.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.51% (![]() | 61.49% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Katowice | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
2-1 @ 9.16% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.39% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.87% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 3.17% Total : 44.64% | 1-1 @ 11.18% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.11% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.48% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 7.46% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.83% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.24% |
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