SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Katowice win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Katowice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Katowice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Katowice | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
44.64% ( -0.37) | 24.12% ( 0.08) | 31.24% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 59.34% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.06% ( -0.22) | 42.94% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.65% ( -0.22) | 65.35% ( 0.22) |
| Katowice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.57% ( -0.24) | 19.43% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.73% ( -0.4) | 51.26% ( 0.41) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( 0.08) | 26.34% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.51% ( 0.11) | 61.49% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Katowice | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.17% Total : 44.64% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.24% |
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