SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Katowice win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gornik Zabrze would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gornik Zabrze | Draw | Katowice |
45.83% ( -0.19) | 25.88% ( 0.1) | 28.28% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.8% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.97% ( -0.37) | 52.02% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.24% ( -0.32) | 73.76% ( 0.32) |
| Gornik Zabrze Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.34% ( -0.25) | 22.66% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.69% ( -0.37) | 56.3% ( 0.36) |
| Katowice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.98% ( -0.13) | 33.02% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.39% ( -0.15) | 69.6% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gornik Zabrze | Draw | Katowice |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.25% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.12% Total : 45.83% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 28.28% |
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