SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Stirling Albion had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Stirling Albion win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Stirling Albion |
42.56% ( 0.04) | 24.7% ( -0.01) | 32.73% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.97% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.97% ( 0.03) | 45.03% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.62% ( 0.03) | 67.38% ( -0.03) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.79% ( 0.03) | 21.21% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.9% ( 0.05) | 54.1% ( -0.05) |
| Stirling Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% ( -0.01) | 26.43% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.4% ( -0.01) | 61.59% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Stirling Albion |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 42.56% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 32.73% |
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