SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Cove Rangers |
28.48% ( -0.05) | 23.98% ( -0.02) | 47.55% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.14% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.22% ( 0.08) | 43.78% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.83% ( 0.08) | 66.17% ( -0.08) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( 0) | 28.61% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.59% ( 0) | 64.41% ( -0) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.44% ( 0.07) | 18.56% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.18% ( 0.11) | 49.82% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.48% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.53% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.42% Total : 47.55% |
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