SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stirling Albion | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
49.85% ( 0.03) | 23.16% ( -0.01) | 26.99% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.79% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.93% ( 0.02) | 41.07% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.54% ( 0.02) | 63.46% ( -0.02) |
| Stirling Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.35% ( 0.02) | 16.64% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.51% ( 0.03) | 46.49% ( -0.03) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.72% ( -0.01) | 28.27% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.01% ( -0.01) | 63.99% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stirling Albion | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.44% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 49.85% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 3.6% Total : 26.99% |
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