SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Korona Kielce | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
28.58% ( -0.24) | 26.5% ( 0.04) | 44.91% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 50.11% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.69% ( -0.24) | 54.31% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.3% ( -0.2) | 75.7% ( 0.2) |
| Korona Kielce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% ( -0.31) | 33.99% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.33% ( -0.34) | 70.67% ( 0.34) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% ( -0.01) | 24.08% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.63% ( -0.01) | 58.37% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Korona Kielce | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
| 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.31% Total : 28.59% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 44.91% |
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