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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gornik Zabrze would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gornik Zabrze | Draw | Korona Kielce |
38.53% ( 0.95) | 26.63% ( 0.21) | 34.84% ( -1.16) |
| Both teams to score 52% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.05% ( -0.96) | 52.95% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.45% ( -0.82) | 74.55% ( 0.82) |
| Gornik Zabrze Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% ( 0.08) | 26.79% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.92% ( 0.11) | 62.07% ( -0.11) |
| Korona Kielce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.03% ( -1.17) | 28.97% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.14% ( -1.47) | 64.85% ( 1.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gornik Zabrze | Draw | Korona Kielce |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.17% Total : 38.53% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.84% |
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