SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for LKS Lodz had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest LKS Lodz win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Korona Kielce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Korona Kielce | Draw | LKS Lodz |
45.92% ( -0.6) | 26.44% ( 0.25) | 27.63% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 49.68% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.42% ( -0.75) | 54.58% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.08% ( -0.63) | 75.92% ( 0.63) |
| Korona Kielce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.28% ( -0.61) | 23.72% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.15% ( -0.88) | 57.84% ( 0.88) |
| LKS Lodz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.12% ( -0.11) | 34.88% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.39% ( -0.12) | 71.61% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Korona Kielce | Draw | LKS Lodz |
| 1-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.69% Total : 45.92% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.13% Total : 27.64% |
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