SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lech Poznan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Korona Kielce | Draw | Lech Poznan |
29.88% ( -0.08) | 25.8% ( -0.03) | 44.32% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.01% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.1% ( 0.09) | 50.9% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.22% ( 0.08) | 72.78% ( -0.08) |
| Korona Kielce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.75% ( -0.01) | 31.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.4% ( -0.01) | 67.6% ( 0.01) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.11% ( 0.09) | 22.89% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.36% ( 0.13) | 56.64% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Korona Kielce | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 29.88% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.31% |
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