SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest KS Cracovia win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KS Cracovia | Draw | Lech Poznan |
32.09% ( 0.02) | 26.05% ( 0.01) | 41.86% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.2% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.89% ( -0.01) | 51.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.04% ( -0.01) | 72.96% ( 0.01) |
| KS Cracovia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% ( 0.01) | 29.83% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.08% ( 0.01) | 65.91% ( -0.01) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( -0.02) | 24.18% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.49% ( -0.03) | 58.51% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| KS Cracovia | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.09% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.21% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.27% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 41.85% |
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