SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest KS Cracovia win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| KS Cracovia | Draw | Lech Poznan |
35.38% ( -0.08) | 26.38% ( -0.03) | 38.24% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.88% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.14% ( 0.11) | 51.86% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.38% ( 0.09) | 73.61% ( -0.09) |
| KS Cracovia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.89% ( 0.01) | 28.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.22% ( 0.01) | 63.78% ( -0.01) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.55% ( 0.11) | 26.44% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.38% ( 0.14) | 61.61% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| KS Cracovia | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.38% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.24% |
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