Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Laval win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Laval win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
-0.35) 
0.07) 
