Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Martigues had a probability of 18.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Martigues win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.04) 
