Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Red Star had a probability of 24.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Red Star win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
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