SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 65.51%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 17.83% and a draw had a probability of 16.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 (4.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Fulham Under-21s |
17.83% ( 0.68) | 16.66% ( 0.38) | 65.51% ( -1.06) |
| Both teams to score 71.54% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.18% ( -0.62) | 20.81% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.75% ( -0.88) | 39.25% ( 0.88) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% ( 0.18) | 23.71% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.16% ( 0.25) | 57.83% ( -0.26) |
| Fulham Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.77% ( -0.34) | 6.23% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.49% ( -0.94) | 23.51% ( 0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Fulham Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 17.83% | 1-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.77% Total : 16.66% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 7.58% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 5.45% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.27% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 5.26% ( -0.14)0-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 3.79% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 3.66% ( -0.12)1-5 @ 2.92% ( -0.14)2-5 @ 2.1% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 2.03% ( -0.11)3-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)1-6 @ 1.35% ( -0.09)3-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)2-6 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)0-6 @ 0.94% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.39% Total : 65.51% |
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