SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City Under-21s win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.41%) and 2-3 (5.37%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
35.5% ( 0.03) | 20% ( 0.07) | 44.49% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 76.98% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.15% ( -0.33) | 20.84% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.71% ( -0.47) | 39.28% ( 0.47) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.29% ( -0.15) | 13.71% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.05% ( -0.29) | 40.94% ( 0.28) |
| Norwich City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.21% ( -0.16) | 10.79% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.18% ( -0.36) | 34.81% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.9% Total : 35.5% | 2-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)4-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 20% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.41% ( 0)2-3 @ 5.37% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.04)0-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.58% Total : 44.49% |
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