SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 59.58%. A win for Reading Under-21s had a probability of 21.09% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Reading Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham Under-21s | Draw | Reading Under-21s |
59.58% ( 0.69) | 19.32% ( -0.22) | 21.09% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 66.68% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.01% ( 0.41) | 28.98% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.04% ( 0.5) | 49.96% ( -0.5) |
| Fulham Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.29% ( 0.29) | 9.7% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.66% ( 0.67) | 32.33% ( -0.67) |
| Reading Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% ( -0.15) | 26.15% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.77% ( -0.2) | 61.23% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham Under-21s | Draw | Reading Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.95% Total : 59.58% | 1-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 2.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.48% Total : 19.32% | 1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 21.09% |
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