SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 38.77% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.38%) and 1-3 (4.95%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
38.77% ( 0.37) | 19.58% ( 0.04) | 41.65% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 79.31% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 81.8% ( -0.19) | 18.2% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 64.52% ( -0.27) | 35.48% ( 0.27) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.63% ( 0.03) | 11.37% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.91% ( 0.07) | 36.09% ( -0.08) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.48% ( -0.2) | 10.51% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.8% ( -0.44) | 34.19% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)5-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 38.77% | 2-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)4-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 19.58% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.95% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0)2-4 @ 3.03% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.05)0-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)3-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.82% Total : 41.65% |
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