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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.54%) and 3-2 (5.07%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
44.81% ( -0.06) | 20.76% ( 0.02) | 34.42% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 73.59% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.03% ( -0.09) | 24.97% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.12% ( -0.12) | 44.87% ( 0.11) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.69% ( -0.06) | 12.31% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.9% ( -0.11) | 38.09% ( 0.11) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( -0.03) | 16.08% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.53% ( -0.05) | 45.47% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.66% Total : 44.81% | 1-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 7.25% ( 0)3-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.76% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 4.42% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.02% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.93% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.65% Total : 34.42% |
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