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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 54.63%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 24.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.31%) and 0-1 (7.12%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
24.11% ( -0.44) | 21.26% ( 0.01) | 54.63% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 63.61% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.28% ( -0.5) | 34.72% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.32% ( -0.56) | 56.68% ( 0.57) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% ( -0.61) | 27.03% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.61% ( -0.8) | 62.39% ( 0.8) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.17% ( -0.04) | 12.83% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.82% ( -0.08) | 39.18% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.84% Total : 24.11% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.26% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.17)0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 6.55% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 54.63% |
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